ISSN 0016-7126 (Print)
ISSN 2587-8492 (Online)
Abstract:
The research purpose is to develop the principles of cartographic assessment and long-term risk forecasts for the development of cryogenic and erosion processes in the continental zone of the Russian Arctic sector under global climatic changes. ′Map of the modern dynamics of Northern Eurasia (within Russia and neighboring countries) 1 : 5 000 000′, ′Map of Russian territory zoning according to the degree of extreme development of environmental and geomorphological situations′ and ′Circum-Arctic map of permafrost and ground-ice conditions′ became the source of information.Processing the data of these maps using GIS technology capabilities enabled offering four options for zoning the territory, taking into account the peculiarities of ecological and geomorphological situations during the climate warming. Each option is aimed at identifying the most dangerous exogenous processes for a certain type of economic activity. The proposed approaches to the creation of maps and the results of their qualitative and quantitative analysis can become the basis for developing a long-term plan of the mentioned area economic use, taking into account environmental and geomorphological limitations.
The work was carried out at the Institute of Geography of the RAS (on the topic of State task 0148-2019-0005 (AAAA-A19-119021990091-4) and at the Institute of Water Problems of the RAS (on the topic of State task 0147-2019-0004 (AAAA-A19-119040990079-3).
References:
| 1. Antropogennaya geomorfologiya. Otvetstvennye redaktory E. A. Likhacheva, V. P. Palienko, I. I. Spasskaya. Moskva – Kiev: Media-Press, 2013, 415 p. |
| 2. Garagulya L. S., Gordeeva G. I. Tipizatsiya izmenenii prirodnykh uslovii dlya inzhenerno-geokriologicheskoi otsenki territorii pri stroitel'stve truboprovodov. Inzhenernaya geologiya, 1982, no. 2, pp. 106–113. |
| 3. Gorelov S. K., Grave M. K., Kozlova A. E., Timofeev D. A. Karta sovremennykh geomorfologicheskikh protsessov SSSR masshtaba 1 : 2 500 000. Geomorfologiya, 1990, no. 1, pp. 4–14. |
| 4. Karta raionirovaniya territorii Rossii po stepeni ekstremal'nosti razvitiya ekologo-geomorfologicheskikh situatsii. Masshtab 1 : 9 000 000. – M.: DI EM BI, 2006. – 1 l. + 2 dop. karty. |
| 5. Karta sovremennoi dinamiki rel'efa Severnoi Evrazii (v predelakh Rossii i sopredel'nykh stran). Masshtab 1 : 5 000 000. – M.: Ekor, 2003. – 4 l. |
| 6. Konishchev V. N. Reaktsiya vechnoi merzloty na poteplenie klimata. Vestnik Moskovskogo un-ta. Seriya 5. Geografiya, 2009, no. 4, pp. 10–20. |
| 7. Koshkarev A. V., Kozlova A. E., Likhacheva E. A., Merzlyakova I. A., Timofeev D. A., Chesnokova I. V. Geomorfologicheskaya opasnost' i risk. Izvestiya RAN. Seriya geograficheskaya, 2001, no. 4, pp. 93–98. |
| 8. Obzor sostoyaniya i zagryazneniya okruzhayushchei sredy v Rossiiskoi Federatsii za 2015 god. Moskva: Rosgidromet, 2016, 223 p. |
| 9. Popov A. I., Trofimov V. T. Prirodnye usloviya Zapadnoi Sibiri. Moskva: Izd-vo Moskovskogo un-ta, 1975, 275 p. |
| 10. Khrustalev L. N., Pustovoit G. P. Monitoring mnogoletnemerzlykh porod. Geoekologiya, 1994, no. 4, pp. 43–49. |
| 11. Shitov A. V., Dostovalova M. S. Analiz faktorov, vliyayushchikh na nekotorye ekzogennye geologicheskie protsessy Gornogo Altaya. Georisk, 2014, no. 2, pp. 36-42. |
| 12. Circum-Arctic Map of Permafrost and Ground-Ice Conditions. Version 2. URL: nsidc.org/data/ggd318 (accessed: 04.11.2020). |
Citation:
| (2020) Assessment and forecast of dangerous exogenous processes activation during climate change based on the analysis of thematic maps data. Geodesy and cartography = Geodezia i Kartografia, 81(12), pp. 11-20. (In Russian). DOI: 10.22389/0016-7126-2020-966-12-11-20 |
Publication History
|
Received: 27.11.2019 Accepted: 08.06.2020 Published: 31.12.2020 |
Authors:
Content
|
2020 December
DOI: 10.22389/0016-7126-2020-966-12
 |