DOI: 
10.22389/0016-7126-2026-1030-4-42-55
1 Musikhin I.A.
2 Taranenko S.V.
Year: 
№: 
1030
Pages: 
42-55

Siberian State University of Geosystems and Technologies

1, 
2, 
Abstract:
Methodologies for training fully connected neural networks (FCNN/MLP) using both synthetic and real data to address scenario-based spatial analysis of urban environments, exemplified by the city of Novosibirsk, are presented in the paper. A comparative evaluation was conducted between two neural network architectures: a unified model trained on comprehensive scenario-based patterns and a composite model comprising neural networks, each dedicated to an individual elementary scenario. The findings indicate that pre-training on large-scale synthesized datasets guarantees high model accuracy (97–99 %). However, direct application of the unified model to real-world data results in its substantial decrease in accuracy to 60 %, thereby necessitating further fine-tuning. In contrast, composite models demonstrate superior accuracy and robustness across both synthesized and real datasets, as well as greater adaptability to changes in scenario-based patterns. Nonetheless, the unified model exhibits significantly faster prediction speeds compared to the composite one, which is a critical advantage for operational and time-sensitive analyses. Subsequent fine-tuning of the models on real data enhanced their accuracy to 96–97 % while markedly reducing training time. The model outputs showed strong consistency with results produced by specialized software tools. The authors propose a hybrid approach, combining initial pre-training of the models on synthesized data with subsequent fine-tuning on real data, which provides an effective and reliable strategy for improving model performance. The study further outlines promising avenues for future research. Overall, the results underscore the significant practical relevance and potential of neural network methodologies for comprehensive spatial analysis and forecasting urban environment quality
The paper was prepared within the state assignment No. FEFS-2026-0003 commissioned by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation
References: 
1.   Musikhin I.A., Opritova O.A., Taranenko S.V. (2025) Development of a multi-functional spatial analysis tool for scenario-based urban environment quality assessment on the example of Novosibirsk. Geodezia i Kartografia, 86(2), pp. 26-37. (In Russian). DOI: 10.22389/0016-7126-2025-1016-2-26-37.
2.   Yamashkina E. O., Yamashkin S. A., Platonova O. V., Kovalenko S. M. Razrabotka neirosetevoi modeli dlya analiza prostranstvennykh dannykh. Russian Technological Journal, 2022, no. 10 (5), pp. 28–37. DOI: 10.32362/2500-316X-2022-10-5-28-37.
3.   Arosio R., Hobley B., Wheeler A. J., Sacchetti F., Conti L. A., Furey T., Lim A. (2023) Fully convolutional neural networks applied to large-scale marine morphology mapping. Frontiers in Marine Science, no. 10:1228867, DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1228867.
4.   Casali Y., Aydin N. Y., Comes T. (2022) Machine learning for spatial analyses in urban areas: a scoping review. Sustainable Cities and Society, Volume 85, no. 104050, DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2022.104050.
5.   Deneu B., Servajean M., Bonnet P., Botella C., Munoz F., Joly A. (2021) Convolutional neural networks improve species distribution modelling by capturing the spatial structure of the environment. PLoS Computational Biology, no. 17 (4): e1008856, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008856.
6.   Grekousis G., Manetos P., Photis Y. N. (2013) Modeling urban evolution using neural networks, fuzzy logic and GIS: The case of the Athens metropolitan area. Cities, no. 30, pp. 193–203. DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2012.03.006.
7.   He S., Li F. (2021) Artificial neural network model in spatial analysis of geographic information system. Mobile Information Systems, no. 2021 (9), pp. 1–12. DOI: 10.1155/2021/1166877.
8.   Liao C., Li Y., Guo R., Li X. (2025) Artificial intelligence for spatial analysis in cities. Cities, Volume 167, no. 106334, DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106334.
9.   Rane J., Kaya O., Mallick S. K., Rane N. L. (2024) Artificial intelligence-powered spatial analysis and ChatGPT-driven interpretation of remote sensing and GIS data. In Generative Artificial Intelligence in Agriculture, Education, and Business. Deep Science Publishing, pp. 162–217. DOI: 10.70593/978-81-981271-7-4_5.
10.   Shaamala A., Yigitcanla T., Nili A., Nyandega D. (2025) Machine learning applications for urban geospatial analysis: A review of urban and environmental studies. Cities, Volume 165, no. 106139, DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106139.
11.   Tikka V., Haapaniemi J., Räisänen O., Honkapuro S. (2022) Convolutional neural networks in estimating the spatial distribution of electric vehicles to support electricity grid planning. Applied Energy, Volume 328, no. 120124, DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120124.
12.   Yeh A., Xia L. (2004) Integration of neural networks and cellular automata for urban planning. Geo-Spatial Information Science, no. 7 (1), pp. 6–13. DOI: 10.1007/BF02826669.
13.   Yigitcanlar T. (2024) Urban artificial intelligence: A guidebook for understanding concepts and technologies. CRC Press, 430 p. DOI: 10.1201/9781003521457.
Citation:
Musikhin I.A., 
Taranenko S.V., 
(2026) Application of FCNN for scenario-based spatial analysis: a case study of Novosibirsk. Geodesy and cartography = Geodeziya i Kartografiya, 87(4), pp. 42-55. (In Russian). DOI: 10.22389/0016-7126-2026-1030-4-42-55
Publication History
Received: 22.09.2025
Accepted: 24.04.2026
Published: 20.05.2026

Content

2026 April DOI:
10.22389/0016-7126-2026-1030-4